My translation of the 2nd letter in the series from an active FSB analyst to Vladimir Osechkin, Russian human rights activist exiled in France. Written 1 day later on March 5th. Buckle up for a long thread and definitely please share far & wide. The text is over 1000 words.
Here’s the picture with regards to Putin & FSB.
On the one hand, he is supported and respected, but if you
slightly dig deeper, it’s a collective feeling for the image, thanks to which
FSB has the power that it really has. To serve (in the FSB), there is one unforgettable
rule. To most, this rule even appears rather natural and is taken for granted –
To criticize Putin’s image is to betray your own interests.
In reality, Putin was never a spy. It’s actually an open
secret. But here (FSB) our doubts concerning the authority’s competence is equivalent
to treason.
Who makes the decisions? I can tell from our own work that
there is no single decision-making post – intrigues and “people who are trusted
by the top” lobby the teams, decisions, etc. In light of this, sometimes facts
and even events are “created.”
I personally do not have contact with Putin, but if I were
to assess him as a target for recruitment as an asset and develop a situational
profile, then we have the following as fact:
1)
Narcissistic disorders, possibly due to
childhood complexes, as methods of overcoming them.
2)
Rejection of family life – no information about his
parents, secrecy around his children and his own personal life. This requires psychological
compensatory mechanisms in search of close relationships. Such psychotype is prone
to “cross dominance” in relationships.
3)
He tries to surround himself with the type of
people whom he respected/feared in his childhood psychotype, over whom he now
has power.
4)
Strongest psychological resistance of personal responsibility
for difficult decisions. It is a result of the 1) above, but in turn, this also
leads to a mechanism for denying his own guilt/responsibility even to himself.
From this, considering 3) above, we can say the following with near absolute
certainty: Putin is psychologically incapable of refusing with justification, an
offer from his closest circle. But this also leads to the conclusion that he
does not guarantee anything to anyone by saying "yes", because to
guarantee is to take responsibility. With high probability I assert that in
case of an offer from his closest circle, he will agree with every offer,
delegating the control/responsibility to the person making the offer. Psychologically,
he will not have any contradictions with "agreement" to mutually
exclusive proposals - "you yourself are to blame if you failed."
Next. The current situation is such that no one anywhere has
reliable information on complex issues. The reports that go through me are then
corrected by the leadership to be politically correct - more positivity, less
negativity. These rosy reports are then again massaged to be even more rosy - and
false. So, everything is very good here – I know this for sure.
At the top of the authorities, several realities exist in
parallel and they are all real in their own way. Power, just like money, is an
illusion. It exists exclusively due to belief in it. It is an axiom of a theory
of control. There is no Russia as a whole picture either. It sure is something
that Putin could find himself completely closed off in a “universe” belonging
to someone in his close circle – there’s a reason he is afraid to even allow
his ministers near him. This is something we are kept in the dark about and I
do not have the details.
But what I know for sure: Volodin (Chairman of the State
Duma of the Russia) flew to Cuba prior to the war, and on the day of the invasion
he wrote that it’s critical he fly to Nicaragua. No mention of war. The lion's
share of people close to the main Towers sincerely believed that there would be
no war. And they understood that such a war would be a trap. This is worth
noting. Did Shoigu (Minister of Defense) think that the war will turn out this
way? No. He is not a real military man. He fully believed in the picture of the
army that he showed Putin. I am personally aware of such facts concerning this
fu#&er, who is at the highest level of our military, they’d be too rich to
turn into an anecdote (Russian joke). When for example Generals are demanded to
provide rapid reports on victories, and they (chain-of-command) continue to
pass on the order (for the report) downstream while screaming & cursing,
until finally some Sergeant agrees to make the report in exchange for military
leave, after which he takes a video of the American work in Afghanistan, erases
the sound, and hands it off up the chain-of-command. And the recipient hands it
off higher, and so on, until it reaches the tables of the Command, who
completely believe the report, and they hand it off to Shoigu (Minister of
Defense of Russia), who then hands it off to Putin.
There are serious discussions about how Putin is lately
absorbed by finding “mystical meanings.” From numerology to the shamans somewhere
up north. Can’t say anything concrete – it doesn’t fit into any analysis.
But that the Czar is not the Czar is a fact. (Putin is not
in charge anymore) He wants to be the Czar, but this is a trap of illusions and
field of object manipulations. Prerequisites are established for this from all
perspectives.
About the internet – to be honest, we can shut down the
internet. Technically. Can also sew closed your own mouth, in order to stop
drinking. Technically, yes. Attempts to shut down (the internet) will be made.
The worst is that various departments will compete for greater efficiency.
Kidding aside, my superiors sometimes say this in all
seriousness: “North Korea lives in this regime (without internet) – and it’s
fine.”
Anyway, war psychosis is scary – we can screw up a lot of
things in this mental state. How this will end is unknown. Look at the big
picture: We react in real-time. The law was passed criminalizing those who post
“fake info against the military”. Kadyrov reasonably responds that his
structures belong to the RosGvardia (National Guard), meaning his members can’t
be charged with this law. Another law can be passed. And then one that excludes
judges (from this law), then a law for those in the special forces, and then for
the tax officials. This is not proper systematic work, but some kind of parody
of case law in the United States. No exclusions should be made.
Which is why I believe in your actions (Vladimir Osechkin,
human rights activist). No, I don’t believe that prison tortures will be
reduced as a result of your actions. But the percentage of those who perfectly
understand what is going on is rather high. Within our ranks (FSB) as well as
within the military.
I need points of support so as not to feel like a doomed
renegade. If this layer is also lost, that's it, the lid of the country's
coffin will be hammered shut.
Soon everything will change. I am afraid to even think how and
when exactly – we’ve entered the impossible state of “as it used to be” but do
not fit into the state of “how we’d like it to be.” We now have a classic fault
point of the country - as in (Evgeny) Messner's "Mutinous War," which
was reworked into “Gerasimov's Doctrine.”
Need any points of support (fulcrum) to maintain sanity even just minimally. And those who’ve already gone off the rails – they don’t care anymore.
END OF TRANSLATION
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